After a decade of emerging markets and economies dominating the global market, the tipping point has arrived: growth will begin to balance going forward.
Fiscal austerity and brinkmanship are diminishing. This sets the stage for U.S. turnaround as growth begins to accelerate. Combined with high global interest rates, slowing emerging market economies as well as a new breed of reform-minded emerging markets economies, a new equilibrium is being created. But, with a new equilibrium, new questions arise:
-How will aggressive ECB and banking integration affect Europe? -For all its resources, can China truly hit its growth potential in the coming decade? -Can we depend on the current stability of commodity prices?
This photo provided by Moody's Analytics shows Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics. Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics. Zandi ...
Moody's Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi explains why Trump's economic plan would cause a recession.

Only a few years ago, the U.S. financial system and economy were near collapse. Global financial institutions teetered and fell, while at once-mighty U.S. companies, panicked CEOs slashed jobs. The financial chaos inflicted catastrophic damage: double-digit unemployment; crashing house and stock prices; federal budget deficits in the trillions, and a wider gap between the country's haves and have-nots. Today many Americans still feel shell-shocked. But while there remains much to be nervous and frustrated about, it is impressive how much progress has been made in righting the wrongs that got us into this mess. The economy is growing and steadily creating jobs; house prices are stable and stock prices are up; debt burdens have eased for most households and the financial system has shored up its foundations to an impressive degree. American companies are as competitive globally as they have been in a half century. This dramatic turn in the economy's fortunes occurred because of what government did to stem the financial panic and combat the effects of Great Recession. Policymakers' unprecedented actions - from Congress' auto and bank bailouts and fiscal stimulus, to the Federal Reserve's zero interest rates and quantitative easing - remain intensely controversial, but ultimately they will be judged a success. Serious problems remain, including the government's mounting debt load and a burgeoning number of disenfranchised workers, but we are on our way to addressing them. Our economic future has arguably never been brighter.

The subprime crisis created a gigantic financial catastrophe. What happened? How did it happen? How can we prevent similar crises from happening again? Mark Zandi answers all these critical questions—systematically, carefully, and in plain English. Zandi begins with a fast-paced overview and then illuminates the deepest causes, from the psychology of homeownership to Alan Greenspan’s missteps. You’ll see the home “flippers” at work and the real estate agents who cheered them on. You’ll learn how Internet technology and access to global capital transformed the mortgage industry, helping irresponsible lenders drive out good ones. Zandi demystifies the complex financial engineering that enabled lenders to hide deepening risks, shows how global investors eagerly bought in, and explains how flummoxed regulators failed to prevent disaster, despite crucial warning signs. Most important, Zandi offers indispensable advice for investors who must recognize emerging bubbles, policymakers who must improve oversight, and citizens who must survive whatever comes next.
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